One product issued by NWS for: Pawnee OK
Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 532 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 532 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44. ONSET...Ongoing. HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas. ONSET...This Afternoon. DISCUSSION... Scattered thunderstorms are developing early this morning across northeast Oklahoma, and will increase in coverage and intensity as the day wears on, with a shift to the southeast with time as well as a cold front moves through the area. Isolated severe storms with mainly a large hail potential will be possible this morning, but the severe threat will ramp up this afternoon from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main severe weather threats this afternoon and evening. The surface frontal boundary is forecast to move south into northeast Texas by late this afternoon, but if it stalls a bit farther north, a limited tornado threat may develop for a time near the Red River. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible this afternoon and evening from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas which may result in localized flooding concerns. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected Thursday afternoon and evening as an upper level storm system moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will again be possible at this time, especially from southeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas where flooding will become an increasing concern. Another significant round of storms may affect the area late Saturday and Saturday night with a severe weather and heavy rain threat. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$